Monsoon Revival Likely After Two-Week Pause; Heavy Rain Forecast By June 14
New Delhi, June 11, 2025 — After a 13-day standstill since May 29, the southwest monsoon is expected to resume its northward advance, according to updates from both the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and private weather forecaster Skymet Weather Services.
Currently stationed over Mumbai in the west and Sikkim–Sub-Himalayan West Bengal in the east, the monsoon stream is set to gain fresh momentum due to two cyclonic systems forming over the Bay of Bengal.
Skymet President GP Sharma said that one monsoon system has already formed over the west-central Bay of Bengal and another is likely to develop soon. These systems are expected to bring renewed rainfall to regions where the monsoon has already arrived and push it further into new territories. The ongoing system may bring showers to coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, and Karnataka, with heavier rain forecast for Konkan and Goa by the weekend.
The IMD also confirmed these projections, adding that favourable atmospheric conditions could allow the monsoon to progress into parts of central and eastern India — including Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, East Madhya Pradesh, and Maharashtra — around June 14.
“Another cyclonic circulation is likely over north Bay of Bengal by June 14,” said Sharma. “This will push rainfall through eastern and central India, potentially alleviating the prolonged dry spell and heatwave conditions.”
The IMD bulletin reported intense heatwave conditions across large swathes of northern and northwest India, including Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir, and Himachal Pradesh. However, relief is expected from June 13 as monsoon winds begin to strengthen.
“Kerala and Karnataka are already witnessing consistent monsoon showers, and South Maharashtra is expected to receive moderate rainfall from June 12,” an IMD official said. “The current weather system near Odisha is critical in driving the next phase of monsoon progression.”
A shear zone — an east-west trough from north Tamil Nadu to south Maharashtra — has also formed along latitude 15°N, which is considered a strong signal of monsoon revival and northward expansion.
The monsoon is expected to regain its pace by June 14, bringing much-needed rainfall and easing temperatures in heatwave-affected regions.
